C5 4371 · IAH → LIT

departs 9:57 AM CT · arrives 11:34 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LIT?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ 9am departures from IAH are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling8,571 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LIT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4371 · IAH → LIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIT?