Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1028 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 6

DL 1028 · SLC → BWI

departs 12:14 AM MT · arrives 6:32 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ 12am departures from SLC are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1028 · SLC → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?