DL 1121 · SLC → YVR

departs 10:50 AM MT · arrives 12:13 PM PDT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YVR?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SLC is busy at that time

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at YVR that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YVR (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1121 · SLC → YVR

Odds over time

How late will it get to YVR?