Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1826
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
DL 1826 · MSO → SLC
departs 5:20 AM MT · arrives 6:59 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 5%
Thu 10/8 6%
Sat 10/10 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
4%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
4%
Leave 15+ late
3%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
3.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Leave MSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
MSO is prone to delays
↓
5am departures from MSO are usually not late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSO (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.