Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 26 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow

DL 26 · ICN → ATL

departs 7:14 PM KST · arrives 7:12 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ICN

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ICN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

ATL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 26 · ICN → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?