Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2951
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
DL 2951 · BDL → ATL
departs 11:35 AM ET · arrives 2:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 10%
Fri 10/9 12%
Sat 10/10 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
BDL is prone to delays
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL
Weather at each end
BDL (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.