Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2975
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
DL 2975 · LAX → PDX
departs 7:05 AM PT · arrives 9:23 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 7%
Thu 10/8 9%
Fri 10/9 9%
Sat 10/10 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
PDX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.