Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3099
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
DL 3099 · AVL → ATL
departs 3:39 PM ET · arrives 4:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 17%
Thu 10/8 13%
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.2d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
AVL is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.