DL 362 · ATL → MSY

departs 3:16 PM ET · arrives 3:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 362 · ATL → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?