Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2249
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow
F9 2249 · SJU → MCO
departs 6:36 PM AT · arrives 9:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 18%
Thu 10/8 22%
Fri 10/9 30%
Sat 10/10 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±7 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.69 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.