Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2920
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
F9 2920 · TPA → CLE
departs 8:22 PM ET · arrives 10:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±4 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.56 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.