Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3508
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
F9 3508 · ATL → MCO
departs 8:24 PM ET · arrives 10:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 65%
Mon 10/5 58%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 16%
Fri 10/9 36%
Sat 10/10 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±6 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.54 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.