Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3985
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
F9 3985 · PHL → DFW
departs 6:02 AM ET · arrives 8:33 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Mon 10/5 37%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 19%
Thu 10/8 19%
Fri 10/9 35%
Sat 10/10 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.