Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1441
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
G4 1441 · VPS → BLV
departs 8:53 AM CT · arrives 10:53 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 13%
Fri 10/9 6%
Sat 10/10 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at BLV more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
3.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BLV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at BLV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BLV?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at VPS that day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BLV
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.15 in
BLV (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.