Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2169
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
G4 2169 · GRR → SFB
departs 10:54 AM ET · arrives 1:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Tue 10/6
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave GRR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at SFB that day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
Other factors
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GRR
Weather at each end
GRR (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.87 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.