Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2597
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
G4 2597 · LEX → PIE
departs 10:43 AM ET · arrives 12:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.1 in of rain forecast at PIE that day
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LEX (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.