Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 58 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 6

G4 58 · IWA → LAS

departs 2:29 AM MSK · arrives 6:06 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 58h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IWA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IWA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAS (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 58 · IWA → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?