Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 867
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
G4 867 · RFD → PGD
departs 1:35 PM CT · arrives 5:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.1d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave RFD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RFD
Weather at each end
RFD (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.