Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
STARLUX · FLIGHT JX 32
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6 Today
JX 32 · TPE → SEA
departs 8:07 PM CST · arrives 3:42 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 22%
Sat 10/10 26%
Sun 10/11 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
21h
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave TPE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPE
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPE (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.