Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3608
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
MQ 3608 · YYZ → ORD
departs 3:07 PM EDT · arrives 3:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 28%
Thu 10/8 26%
Sat 10/10 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
YYZ (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
ORD (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.