Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5215 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:51 AM ET, ETA 1:07 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 6 Today

OH 5215 · TYS → PHL

took off 11:51 AM ET · expected to land 1:07 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from TYS are often late

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5215 · TYS → PHL

Odds over time