Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 107
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
OO 107 · AUS → JAX
departs 10:04 AM CT · arrives 1:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4 24%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 10%
Thu 10/8 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 233 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at JAX that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JAX (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.87 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.