OO 3148 · BOI → PDX

departs 8:26 PM MT · arrives 9:02 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late

↑ 8pm departures from BOI are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

Weather at each end

BOI (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3148 · BOI → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?