Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3680
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
OO 3680 · SEA → TUS
departs 8:25 AM PT · arrives 11:47 AM MT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 14%
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
TUS is prone to delays
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↑
8am departures from SEA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUS
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.