Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4002
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
OO 4002 · EUG → SEA
departs 12:54 PM PT · arrives 2:16 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 18%
Sat 10/10 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.2d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EUG is prone to delays
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
Weather at each end
EUG (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.