Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4633
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
OO 4633 · ACV → LAX
departs 1:24 PM PT · arrives 3:15 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/6
Sat 10/10 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.2d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave ACV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at ACV that day
↑
ACV is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from ACV are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
Weather at each end
ACV (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.4 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.