Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4804
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
OO 4804 · LAX → BFL
departs 10:24 AM PT · arrives 11:24 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 27%
Thu 10/8 25%
Sat 10/10 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at BFL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BFL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at BFL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BFL?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from LAX are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
BFL is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BFL
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
BFL (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.