Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4896
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
OO 4896 · SEA → LAX
departs 7:00 AM PT · arrives 10:02 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 9%
Thu 10/8 14%
Fri 10/9 13%
Sat 10/10 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.