Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4959
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
OO 4959 · HMO → PHX
departs 11:59 AM MST · arrives 1:31 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 17%
Thu 10/8 20%
Sat 10/10 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave HMO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HMO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HMO (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
PHX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.