Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5243
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
OO 5243 · MTY → IAH
departs 5:10 PM CST · arrives 7:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave MTY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MTY
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MTY (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
IAH (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.