Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5515
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
OO 5515 · CRQ → DEN
departs 4:57 PM -03 · arrives 4:14 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 19%
Thu 10/8 17%
Sat 10/10 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave CRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at CRQ
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CRQ (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
DEN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.