Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5599
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
OO 5599 · CRQ → SFO
departs 5:47 PM -03 · arrives 3:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 22%
Thu 10/8 28%
Sat 10/10 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave CRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at CRQ
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at SFO that day
Weather at each end
CRQ (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
SFO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.