Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6254
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
OO 6254 · SAF → DFW
departs 1:55 PM MT · arrives 4:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 14%
Sat 10/10 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.2d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAF (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 6 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.