Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6490
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
OO 6490 · GDL → PHX
departs 4:00 PM CST · arrives 7:37 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 18%
Sat 10/10 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.2d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave GDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
GDL (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
PHX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.