PR 110 · MNL → GUM

departs 10:31 PM PST · arrives 4:25 AM ChST

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at GUM more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GUM?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at GUM that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MNL

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MNL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GUM (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precip0.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PR 110 · MNL → GUM

Odds over time

How late will it get to GUM?