PT 5923 · PHL → MHT

took off 1:08 PM ET · expected to land 2:03 PM ET (scheduled 1:16 PM ET → 2:53 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MHT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MHT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5923 · PHL → MHT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MHT?