Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 6055
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6 Today
PT 6055 · ORF → PHL
departs 5:26 PM ET · arrives 6:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 22%
Sat 10/10 29%
Sun 10/11 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
1.3d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
ORF (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.