Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

QANTAS · FLIGHT QF 7554 LANDED 2:54 AM HT, ~28 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 6 Today

QF 7554 · DFW → HNL

took off 12:44 AM CT · landed 2:54 AM HT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 19h after departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QF 7554 · DFW → HNL

Odds over time