Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2019
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow
QX 2019 · RDM → SEA
departs 7:30 AM PT · arrives 9:03 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
24h
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave RDM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
QX's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDM
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RDM (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.