Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2069
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow
QX 2069 · GEG → SEA
departs 9:34 AM PT · arrives 10:42 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
1.1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
GEG (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.