Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2072
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow
QX 2072 · YYJ → SEA
departs 2:34 PM PDT · arrives 3:23 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/7 24%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
1.3d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave YYJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at YYJ that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
2pm departures from YYJ are usually not late
Weather at each end
YYJ (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.