Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2087
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6 Today
QX 2087 · PDX → RNO
departs 3:13 PM PT · arrives 4:43 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 16%
Sun 10/11 20%
Mon 10/12 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
1.3d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
QX's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↑
3pm departures from PDX are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at PDX that day
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RNO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.