QX 2130 · ANC → OTZ

took off 4:15 PM AKT · expected to land 5:34 PM AKDT (scheduled 4:10 PM AKT → 6:02 PM AKDT)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at OTZ more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OTZ?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 4pm departures from ANC are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into OTZ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.10 in

OTZ (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2130 · ANC → OTZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to OTZ?