QX 2176 · SEA → EUG

departs 8:00 AM PT · arrives 9:17 AM PT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EUG?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at EUG that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into EUG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

EUG (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2176 · SEA → EUG

Odds over time

How late will it get to EUG?