Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2390
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6 Today
QX 2390 · YYJ → SEA
departs 6:04 AM PDT · arrives 7:00 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
22h
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave YYJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at YYJ that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
YYJ (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.