Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3009 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow

SY 3009 · FAI → PDX

departs 8:51 AM AKT · arrives 2:08 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.5 in of snow forecast at FAI that day

↑ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ FAI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FAI (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3009 · FAI → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?