UA 2080 · OGG → SFO

departs 1:54 PM HT · arrives 9:57 PM PT

Your aircraft is N37313 (B38M), coming in as UA 573 from SFO: landed 12:28 PM HT.

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↑ OGG is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2080 · OGG → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?