Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2329 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 6

UA 2329 · SBP → DEN

departs 5:00 AM PT · arrives 8:33 AM MT

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi forecast at SBP that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

SBP (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2329 · SBP → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?