tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2409 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2409 · YYC → SFO

departs 3:14 PM MDT · arrives 4:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 4.2d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    82%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.