tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 278 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 278 · YYZ → ORD

departs 5:07 PM EDT · arrives 5:51 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 4.2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.